global financial system

For four straight years the global financial system has shown impressive resilience. During the past six months in particular, markets have not been easy to intimidate. Global imbalances have widened, oil prices have risen strongly, hurricanes have struck, and turmoil has developed in U.S. credit derivative markets. Political uncertainty has increased in some emerging economies.
Yet, the global financial system has done well. Clearly the risk of financial crisis is always present, and optimism must be tempered with realism. But there are several objective factors that have given rise to the greater resilience of financial markets.

Solid economic growth, combined with low inflation, low bond yields, and cheap credits, have bolstered current financial stability. These are all essential factors that customarily sustain international financial markets and have done so through this cycle.
Risk has clearly not disappeared from international financial markets. Global imbalances, sustained high oil prices, and high levels of household indebtedness, could—each alone, or in combination—impair global growth in the future. On balance, these risks could certainly pose challenges. However, they are unlikely to materialize any time soon.


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